The Boyar Value Group’s 3rd Quarter Client Letter

The Boyar Value Group just released our latest quarterly letter to clients.

Please find an excerpt of the letter below:

We haven’t decreased our equity exposure, and we don’t plan to; instead, we like to take advantage of these moments of market dislocation to increase our equity holdings. We’re pained at the thought of losing money for our clients, but we see this year’s losses thus far as “paper losses,” not as a permanent loss of capital. After all, the price of a stock on any given day is simply what people are willing to pay for a business at that moment. But we believe that over the long term, either the stock market will come to reflect the business’s true value or an acquirer will purchase it for its true worth, as we’ve seen so many times before. We have no reason to believe that this time will be any different.

Please click here to read the letter

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Value Investing Q&A Speaker Series Video Excerpts

Over the next couple of weeks we will be posting excerpts from Jonathan Boyar’s Value Investing Q&A at Brown University.

 

Video #1: UBER Thesis 

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Video #2: Fallen Angels

 

Video #3: Why we buy stocks to “own” for the long term?

 

Video #4: How does Boyar’s approach to portfolio diversification translate to individual client needs?

 

Video #5: Different Types of Value Investing, Boyar’s Type of Value Investing

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This information is not a recommendation, or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy, an interest in any security, including an interest in any investment vehicle managed or advised by Boyar Asset Management (“Boyar”) or its affiliates. The results of the Forgotten Forty are not audited. This material is as of the date indicated, is not complete, and is subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. No representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information and Boyar assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. Nothing in this interview should be construed as investment advice of any kind. Consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Any opinions expressed herein represent current opinions only and no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information, and Boyar Asset Management and its affiliates assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. You should not assume that any investment discussed herein will be profitable or that any investment decisions in the future will be profitable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain information has been provided by and/or is based on third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and Boyar Asset Management or any of its affiliates is not responsible for third-party errors. Any information that may be considered advice concerning a federal tax issue is not intended to be used, and cannot be used, for the purposes of (i) avoiding penalties imposed under the United States Internal Revenue Code or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another party any transaction or matter discussed herein. Boyar Asset Management, its employees or affiliates may own shares in any of the companies referenced in this article.

Any results mentioned, do not necessarily represent the results of any of the accounts managed by Boyar Asset Management Inc., and the results of Boyar Asset Management Inc. accounts could and do differ materially from any of the results presented. While the results presented show profits, there was the real possibility of a permanent loss of capital. This information is for illustration and discussion purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Boyar Asset Management Inc. is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration of an Investment Advisor does not imply any level of skill or training. A copy of current Form ADV Part 2A is available upon request or at https://adviserinfo.sec.gov Please contact Boyar Asset Management Inc. at (212) 995-8300 with any questions.

Boyar Asset Management or its affiliates, its employees and/or shareholders  may own shares in any of the companies mentioned in the interview. The presentation represents the  views of Boyar as of the date of this interview and is subject to change at any time without notice.

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Boyar’s Updated Thoughts on the Recent Stock Market Volatility

Below is a letter we sent to Boyar Asset Management clients on 06/17/2022.

 

On May 6, we wrote you to share our thoughts on the recent stock market volatility, noting that the selloff was likely driven by many different investor concerns: inflation, interest rates, the war in Ukraine, supply chain disruptions, and an economic slowdown in China. Unfortunately, with these factors still in play, the stock market (using the S&P 500 as a reference) has since declined by a further ~11%. We’ve officially entered a bear market, defined as a drop of 20% or more from the previous peak.

Amid the daily parade of frightening headlines, it’s anyone’s guess what will make stocks recover from here. But through all the uncertainty, we’re keeping in mind Warren Buffett’s observation that “[t]he future is never clear; you pay a very high price in the stock market for a cheery consensus. Uncertainty actually is the friend of the buyer of long-term values.” As we wrote on May 6, we agree with this sentiment wholeheartedly:

The near term will likely be bumpy, but we’re optimistic about the future. In fact, now is when investors should be thinking about increasing their equity exposure: historically, the best     time to invest is when you feel the worst. Even highly experienced and successful investors find taking this plunge difficult, particularly when prices keep falling, but buying great businesses at marked-down prices and holding them for the long term is historically how the best returns are made.

        Although bear markets can be painful, they shouldn’t prompt investors to sell. Decade after decade, investors have been best served by holding their positions in high-quality companies, and they’ve been even better served if they have the funds (and stomach) to buy more—after all, the timing of market rebounds is nothing if not unpredictable. As the following graphic shows, since 1957, the median market return (again, measured against the S&P 500) has been positive 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, and 1 year after officially entering bear market territory. Certainly in some years stocks have been down during those time frames, but that’s been the exception, not the rule.

S&P 500 after closing in bear market

We still believe that investors should stay the course. We haven’t decreased our equity exposure, and we don’t plan to; instead, we like to take advantage of these moments of market dislocations to increase our equity holdings. We’re pained at the thought of losing money for our clients, but we see this year’s losses thus far as “paper losses,” not as a permanent loss of capital. After all, the price of a stock on any given day is simply what people are willing to pay for a business at that moment. But we believe that over the long term, either the stock market will come to reflect the business’s true value or an acquirer will purchase it for its true worth. We have no reason to believe that this time will be any different.

Unfortunately, today’s stock prices are being driven by panic over macroeconomic headlines, not by underlying business fundamentals. Wall Street has historically overreacted to economic data, whether positive or negative, prompting economist Paul Samuelson to famously observe that “the stock market has predicted nine out of the last five economic recessions.” The stock market hates uncertainty more than anything else, and right now we’re knee-deep in it. How long before we’ll find solid ground is anyone’s guess.

Reasons for Optimism

But the situation isn’t all doom and gloom. The U.S. banking system hasn’t been this strong in decades, unemployment is at historic lows, and consumer balance sheets have been bolstered by recent government stimulus programs (though the savings rate has recently declined, and credit card balances have increased significantly—developments we’ll be keeping a close eye on). A recession is certainly possible, but these factors should help mitigate its effects.

Equally important, investor sentiment is at multiyear lows, with consumer confidence even lower than after the September 11 attacks, during the 2008–2009 financial crisis, and during the coronavirus lockdowns. Both these markers have historically been great contraindicators for future stock market returns. Consumer confidence might well go lower from here, but its worth noting that —according to JP Morgan, the average 12-month return of the S&P 500 after the eight consumer sentiment troughs since 1971 was 24.9%:

Finally, and most important, the stocks we own are quite inexpensive—and the best predictor of future stock market returns is valuation. In times like these, putting things into their proper perspective is essential. Today’s headlines are alarming, but they pale in comparison with those we saw during 2008–2009, when people thought the global financial system was on the brink of actual collapse. Likewise, in 2020, when the coronavirus drove the economy off a cliff in mere months, investors feared for their physical health, not just their financial health. Even so, staying the course was the right move in both cases, and we see no reason this time should be any different.

As always, we’re more than happy to answer any questions you might have. Please feel free to call our office at (212) 995-8300 or email us at info@boyarvaluegroup.com. Looking forward to better days ahead.

Best regards,

Mark A. Boyar

Jonathan I. Boyar

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Important Disclaimers

This information is not a recommendation, or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy, an interest in any security, including an interest in any investment vehicle managed or advised by Boyar Asset Management (“Boyar”) or its affiliates. This material is as of the date indicated, is not complete, and is subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. No representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information and Boyar assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. Consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Any opinions expressed herein represent current opinions only and no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information, and Boyar Asset Management and its affiliates assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. You should not assume that any investment discussed herein will be profitable or that any investment decisions in the future will be profitable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain information has been provided by and/or is based on third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and Boyar Asset Management or any of its affiliates is not responsible for third-party errors. Any information that may be considered advice concerning a federal tax issue is not intended to be used, and cannot be used, for the purposes of (i) avoiding penalties imposed under the United States Internal Revenue Code or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another party any transaction or matter discussed herein.

Any results mentioned, do not necessarily represent the results of any of the accounts managed by Boyar Asset Management Inc., and the results of Boyar Asset Management Inc. accounts could and do differ materially from any of the results presented. While the results presented show profits, there was the real possibility of a permanent loss of capital. This information is for illustration and discussion purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Boyar Asset Management Inc. is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration of an Investment Advisor does not imply any level of skill or training. A copy of current Form ADV Part 2A is available upon request or at https://adviserinfo.sec.gov Please contact Boyar Asset Management Inc. at (212) 995-8300 with any questions.

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Jonathan Boyar on The Virtual Value Investing Q&A Speaker Series at Brown University

In a recent edition of The Virtual Value Investing Q&A Speaker Series at Brown University (where previous guests have included Howard Marks, Wally Weitz, and Arnold Van Den Berg) Jonathan Boyar discuses:

  • Our stock selection method(s)
  • Two of Boyar Asset Management’s largest positions: Home Depot and Microsoft and the importance of holding stocks for long periods of time
  • His views on the current media landscape
  • His thoughts on Uber, IAC, and ANGI
  • How Boyar is investing in the cannabis industry
  • His thoughts on portfolio diversification
  • And much more…

To listen to the interview in its entirety, please click here. 

 

Click Here to Read the Interview Transcript

[00:00:00]
[silence]

Interviewer: 0:03 We’re absolutely glad to have Jonathan Boyar here with us today. Jonathan Boyar is president of BIVR, an independent research boutique established in 1975 that counts some of the world’s largest sovereign funds, hedge funds, mutual funds and family wealth offices as subscribers.

0:21 He is also principal of the Boyar investment management which has been managing money utilizing a value-added strategy since 1983.

0:26 He has been interviewed in Barron’s, Welling on Wall Street and Guru Focus. He spoke at the 2017 London Value Investor Conference, the 2017 Guru Focus Value Conference and the 2017 International Value Investing Conference. He is also a contributor to the latest edition of Harriman’s Book of Investing Rules of the do’s and don’ts of the world’s best investors. He is a senior contributor to Forbes as well as the host of the World According to Boyar podcast.

0:50 Thank you for joining us today Mr. Boyar

Jonathan Boyar: 0:52: Thank you for having me today it’s an honor to speak for your organization, and I’m happy to just chat and I look forward to getting some great questions later. I first thought I’d start by just telling you who we are, what we do and how we come up with stocks for four clients. We’ve been doing this for quite some time and the slide up here says unlocking value since 1983 that’s somewhat true.

1:27 We actually started as a research boutique; my father started the business in 1975
to sell independent research to hedge funds, mutual funds, family offices, that type of thing utilizing what we like to call a business person’s approach to stock market investing and then in 1983 we established four-year asset management where we manage money for family offices, high net worth individuals and institutions.

1:58 I’m not sure why the slide’s not working but here, let’s do it this way.

2:09 Here’s a disclaimer. You have that.

2:15 So first, I thought I talked a little bit about what we do. We’re very different than your traditional value investors and, I’ll talk about value investing in general, a couple slides from now, but what we do is we take every company whether it’s Walt Disney, Microsoft, any big, huge company or a tiny 2:39 one like Town Square Media and we look at it through the lens of an acquirer and we say or what we try to do is we can buy it at a significant discount to what we think it’s wort.

2:56 That’s something we will consider, that’s the first, you know first criteria it has to meet and then the second criteria is it has to have a 3:08 catalyst. I have to have a reason for the stock to go up over a reasonable period of time and we’re much more patient than most people. You know, Barron’s once called my father the world’s most patient investor.
3:20 We look at catalyst that could take two or three years to unfold. We don’t mind waiting that long because patience is generally rewarded.

3:34 I love this quote and I think it’s as true as when Sir John Templeton was investing as it is today: “I think that you can’t be afraid to be different.” If you’re buying the same stocks as everyone else is as Sir John says you’ll get the same results so what you want to do 3:57 is find stock that you believe in that are believed to be intrinsically undervalued, stocks that you want to own for long periods of time to allow the magic of tax-free compounding to work.

4:17 So personally I dislike the term value investing. I think it’s a term that’s really kind of used by consultants and other institutions to try and style box people, put everyone in a neat little corner.

4:36 I like to say I don’t think any growth investor wants to overpay for a stock

4:41 So, value investor is the same thing. There are lots of different schools of value investing and some people like to buy traditional value stocks where mediocre businesses that are just very very cheap and that’s really the deep value camp and that’s something we rarely do anymore. It worked really well when my father started the business in the 70s and in the 80s when having a calculator was a kind of a big advantage and a big technological thing. It doesn’t really work as well anymore.

5:28 If you’re doing deep value investing, you’re going to end up probably with a lot of broken retailers.

5:34 There’s special situation investing where there’s an event that’s going to occur that you think you can analyze better than others. There are asset plays like Madison Square Garden that own extremely, that don’t look statistically cheap but if you sum up the value of all the assets they have, the stock price significantly discounts that value.

5:58 So there’s lots of different ways to approach value investing and what we like to do is we like to invest in in high quality businesses selling at a significant discount to
what an acquirer pays and has a catalyst for capital appreciation.

6:17 Having that high to medium good business is critically important.

6:23 We don’t want to rent stocks we want to own them, we want to own them for
very, very long periods of time.

6:35 If I look at where we have made the most money, probably our two largest positions are Home Depot and Microsoft where I think we bought them starting in2006 and 2007 and sold very little of it and they’ve come to become outsized positions. I think it cost us then30 dollars a share and now they’re significantly better than that. And when we bought them, they were good businesses. We could never imagine that they would have compounded the way they have and 7:14 Microsoft would have the renaissance that it did, but we knew we were buying a high-quality business and we kind of just let stuck along for the ride.

7:27 One of the things I like to tell people is doing nothing is an action. You don’t need to be turning your portfolio over every day. If you do that, you’re gonna miss the jump from in Home Depot from $30 to $300 and change and you’re gonna be paying taxes
along the way.

7:50 Just briefly gonna talk about our investment process. We look at how much cash flow a company can generate, we like to look at recent comparable transactions that’s extremely important to us as they’re the best judge of a business value.

8:09 To us, the most important thing is protecting the downside, the upside takes care of itself. We want to buy businesses where we have the chance to make a fair amount of money but most importantly not lose a lot of money so that’s something that’s critically important to us.

8:34 It’s also to have that. Buffett and Hunger call a circle of confidence. There are things that we like to invest in and they’re things that we don’t.

8:48 We like the businesses, a lot of consumer-oriented businesses, media businesses things that you can touch, feel, analyze, and really understand. We don’t like commodity-oriented businesses and over a long period of time that has helped us. And the thesis behind not wanting to own a commodity-oriented business-like oil and gas company or something to that effect is your whole thesis or a large part of it is predicated on the price of oil which is out of your control, and I have no idea how to value what oil is and where it’s going. So, if I’m looking at buying an entire business which is what I do when I buy individual stocks and looking at it if I’m buying the whole company, I wouldn’t want to own a business that is solely dependent or largely dependent on a commodity price that is outside of our control.

9:54 Over the long run that’s helped us. 2019 it was great when oil stocks and energy stocks did terrible. 20 or 21 we suffered and so far, it’s March 3rd we’re suffering this year, but I think over the long run it’s the right thing to do

10:17 We have lots of different approaches. We look for stocks as I said we like looking for hidden values, hidden assets that are not properly reflected on the balance sheet. We like looking at the 10:34 franchise approach rate, consumer franchises especially when they’re masked by a corporate name. That’s actually a really great way to find value.

10:47 If I told if I asked most people and I actually did this when I was on a trip when we were actually allowed to travel, do you know what Acushnet was? No one really knew what it was, and these were sophisticated investors and I said, well they own Titleist
golf balls and golf gloves and other really great brands and that’s actually it stops people from looking at it and they see Acushnet, what’s this and they go on to the next thing. So, it’s actually a great way to find value.

11:28 We love when an industry falls out of favor and that can happen really quickly
You’re seeing so far, the early signs of it with the technology share so far this year.
How low that goes is anyone’s guess but when an industry comes out of favor, they throw the baby out with the bath water and we try to find the best of breeds, the ones that are going to survive and thrive over the long run and that’s been a successful approach for us over time.

12:04 You look at things like capital allocation, decisions financial strength and again prices for what other companies have been acquired in the recent past is critically important.

12:21 Hidden asset approach is also something that’s great and that we love and one of the reasons that we love it is no computer screen in the world or artificial intelligence
is going to tell you that something’s not valuable. Something that’s valuable is not reflected on the balance sheet and I’ll just give you a very quick example. Madison Square Garden has been a holding of ours for a long period of time and we’ve had a decent amount of success with it.

12:57 When we first started analyzing it Wall Street assigned zero value to the air development rights where you can actually sell your pair to neighbors but what we saw was the real estate that was located near Penn Station. That’s equal to the enterprise value of the entire company, so essentially at that price you were buying Madison Square Garde’s business for zero costs. So, a lot of times because of accounting rules and things like that great assets are obscured.

13:34 The classic example I gave you, my father told me one of the first stocks he ever
looked at was Tiffany and company and at the time you could have bought the whole
company for 24 million dollars in 1975. The building it owned on 57th street and in fifth avenue which wasn’t reflected on the balance sheet was worth more than the entire
market cap of the company. So, you’re getting the Tiffany name, all the jewelry etc. for free. These things still work, and it still happens you just have to be patient and pick your spots.

14:11 I talk about you know consumer franchises before, we also like fallen angels, we love looking at the one starlings of Wall Street or that are now unwanted, unloved.
What’s critically important is not falling into a value trap. You have to look at the reason why the stock has gone down and look if there’s a long-term business there that’s not in secular decline and that’s obviously a business judgment that you have to make and that’s something that you get with time.

14:56 We also look at spin-offs that’s a fruitful area to define things. That’s been pretty well documented.
15:08 We also sometime look at companies emerging from bankruptcy so it’s just basically we’ll look anywhere there’s value that we can understand, and you know I’ll just say one more time: being inexpensive stock is only halfway there. You need to have that catalyst otherwise you have a significant danger of falling into a value trap which is one of the biggest problems that investors fall into.

15:40 I promised I would be brief, and I think this was about 18 minutes or so. if you have any questions, feel free to contact me. I’d also encourage you; I have a podcast called The World According to Boyar. That’s available anywhere. We
have really interesting guests, that’s a good way to get some business lessons and you can sign up for everything if you go to boyarvaluegroup.com. Thank you for your time.

Interviewer: 16:14 Thank you so much, that was a really excellent presentation and I’ll send you the questions.
16:19 Our first question is how do you see the media streaming space going forward?

Jonathan Boyar: 16:25 The media industry obviously is undergoing a tremendous amount of change and you’re trying to find the winners is very difficult.There’s a lot of smart people chasing this. You know, there’s an old adage: content is king and to me the ones with the best content are the ones that are gonna win and looking at a company like Disney they’re gonna be winners. They’ve already I think have 130 million subscribers to Disney plus. They’ve priced it competitively they still haven’t rolled it out to the rest of the world. I see them being big winners.

17:07 We really like the AT&T deal with Discovery. That’s going to happen early in this sometime in the second quarter. It looks like that’s where it will uh occur and you’re marrying lots of different type of content. It’s a lot of overlap, not a lot of overlap so there’s a lot of synergies there so I think these it’s going to be a game of scale and there are these things called free radicals. Companies like that that John Malone calls free radicals like AMCX and others that’ll probably be gobbled up so it’s gonna be a very interesting space to monitor over the next couple of years. I think there’s a lot of value there you have to be patient. It’ll be very interesting to see what happens when Discovery and AT&T consummate the merger. There’s going to be AT&T shareholders are going to be given Discovery stock and most are a lot of their shareholder base is retail. We probably don’t want to own a levered media company so is there going to be a lot of force selling. I don’t know it’s probably been the most telegraphed thing I’ve seen in a long time. So it’s quite an interesting space to be in.

Interviewer:18:28 Absolutely and let me ask you another question about the sectors. One of the players that you have right now is Apple TV and I think you know the
marketing cap and the size of the company compared to some of these other players is much much much larger um and they have quite a lot of uh quite a large cash balance but they’ve been going more through an organic raptor they’ve been developing their own content. Do you think we will see them go more and then we’re gonna graft at some point and buy one of these other major players?

Jonathan Boyar: 18:54 I wouldn’t rule anything out. I don’t know, I mean it’s interesting. They said if you know Steve Jobs had lived they would have probably bought Disney. Now Disney’s too big and it made a lot of sense for a lot of reasons. I think it would make sense for Apple. You know it’s very difficult to replicate, to create original content. These production studios cetera cost a lot of money it would make sense for them to buy something. I mean they have a lot of other issues that they have to contend with they have government regulations you have to contend with, so I don’t know.
It’s always puzzled me why they haven’t done that and what their real true intentions are, but you know time will tell.

Interviewer: 19:48: Can you speak about your thesis on UBER and I mean do you have any sort of forecast for when you think they will reach profitability?

Jonathan Boyar:19:53 Over the next couple of years they should. I think UBER is extremely undervalued. I think it’s a terrific re reopening play and what we really like about UBER is the competitive advantage. I mean they literally spent billions and billions of dollars to have this network. It reminds me in some ways a PayPal. Five, six, seven years ago or what not where it didn’t get the respect it deserved from the from this from Wall Street and this network is extremely valuable. Some people like to complain about UBER and drivers aren’t happy, that passengers aren’t happy. Bottom line is people are using them and demand is picking up and I think with the reopening
I think the rides business is going to really surprise. On the on the upside, the CEO, they have a great CEO, former IAC Expedia guy, just bought 10 million dollars’ worth of stock. It’s a name that we like it’s not in your traditional value camp but it has things that we think are of value which is that network.

Interviewer: 21:14 And so you think them reaching profitability will be more related to revenue growth and economies of scale or do you think it’s going to be more related to them having such a large market share just being able to jack up the pricing of rides?

Jonathan Boyar: 21:25 I think the more of the first and then in the second I mean they were subsidizing a lot more rides in the in the beginning than they are or now. I just think it’s the economies at scale. They’re going to be, listen, Disney’s great at this too with their new um park system where they’re able to maximize revenue. It’s great to be able to do that but you also do want to keep your customers happy to some degree.

Interviewer: That makes sense and can you please speak about your thesis for ANGI home services as well?

Jonathan Boyar: 22:02 In terms of ANGI it’s more looking at IAC in general which owns 85 of ANGI home services so essentially if you’re buying IAC you’re also making a bet on ANGI that’s probably a better risk reward way of doing it.

22:17 ANGI’s a great business and they’re pivoting in a really unique way. They want to you know the company is controlled by Barry Diller who’s been this type of person you want to invest alongside with he’s had returns that were you know compounding at 15 a year since 1995 or so.

22:42 He’s been very shareholder friendly and what he’s really good at doing is taking
offline businesses that traditionally were done in person. Ticketmaster for example, Expedia, online dating, all of these things that I for you you’re a little younger you’ve grown up with this online your whole life, but it hasn’t obviously always been that way and they’re really good at that making that transition and they’re looking at making that transition to for home services which is a huge total addressable market and they want to be kind of the one-stop shop where they have something called ANGI services where let’s say you needed your gutters clean you go on your phone, you say what the job is and then basically they say okay they’ll cost sixty dollars whatever it is someone will be there um in two days. And they take care of everything and that’s what they’re trying to do it’s a very very difficult thing it’s it’s hard to do but if anyone can do it’s Barry Diller and his team there so they’re making that transition which is just quite difficult to do but it’s faith in the management team, it seems like they’re making the right progress um you know. Probably shouldn’t be a public company probably should be part of IAC as it was growing but I think IAC with owning matched uh I’m sorry owningcare.com having a 27 stake in Turo which is about to go public having a whole host of other valuable businesses: Dotdash Meredith. They just bought Meredith late last year it’s it’s a really great hodgepodge of businesses that makes a lot of sense.

Interviewer: 24:50 I spoke about Tesla in the past. How do you see Tesla today both from let’s say evaluation perspective but also from a business perspective? Let’s say, do you think in 10 years Tesla world you know have maybe a similar market share in the spaces they have today or do you think they’re going to really be competed away by some of these legacy players or some other Startups?

Jonathan Boyar: 25:09 Listen, I I’ve been the wrong person to listen to when it comes to Tesla. I don’t understand as a value person how it’s afforded such a high multiple.
I know people say it’s more than a car company, I get that thesis I just don’t necessarily believe it. I think that they’re in for a rude awakening when GM you know they’re coming out with a whole host of great other cars there’s going to be other competition with Ford. I mean it’s a very very difficult space and traditionally hasn’t been the best business to be in so not really sure why because it’s electric. I realized there it’s a little bit different but it’s to me at these levels it makes no sense.

26:02 Wouldn’t bet against it I think Elon Musk, I admire what he’s done and what he’s accomplished some of the ways he’s done I questioned but, he is certainly a controversial person, but he’s revolutionized an industry. But will he be the ultimate winner?

26:25 And even if he is you know should it be uh top 10 S&P 500 companies. I think it’s worth more than Berkshire Hathaway or roughly. I don’t have a marked caps in front of me but if someone said John for your birthday, I’m either going to give you Tesla or I’m going to give you Berkshire Hathaway. You get Geico you get a huge steak and Apple and Bank of America, you get all these wonderful businesses, I’ll choose Berkshire.

Interviewer: 26:58 It makes sense. Also, you have some at least one investment that’s related to the cannabis industry maybe. Speak a little bit about that and how you view the cannabis industry today.

Jonathan Boyar: 27:13 You know we’re valued investors and as I mentioned before margin of safety downside protection is extremely important to us. We kind of got into the cannabis business by happenstance. We own a company called Scott’s Miracle Gro. James Hagedorn was a guest on my podcast and certainly a very interesting fellow.

27:36 He’s done a great job and they’re in the home and garden space you know anyone who gardens and even if you don’t garden you know what Scott’s is. They’re by far, they’re Coca-Cola like market share in what they do.

27:53They’re sold at Home Depot, Lowe’s, their pricing power, they’ve raised prices three times in the past year. About 10 years ago or so they 28:05 decided to get into the cannabis space but to do it in a different legal way. So, they’re kind of it’s a pick and shovel like during a gold rush event where or situation where they are providing lighting and filtration and all the other anything that a grower would need. And they are by far number one in in their field on this. It’s a billion-dollar business growing rapidly. The stock was $254 in April of 2021 it’s currently $140. And if you chart uh Scott’s Miracle Gro next to a cannabis ETF it looks very similar it’s not solely gone down because the
cannabis business is down in the dumps uh temporarily but it it it’s really been a huge factor and at these levels the way I look at it is I’m buying Scott’s traditional business which is at a full multiple of what it would go in a transaction and essentially getting their fast-growing hydroponics business for free. That also has valuable stakes or will have
29:30 valuable stakes in other consumer branded cannabis companies so it’s a really interesting play. They’re great capital allocators., they give it a special dividend when their stocks expensive they, buy back stock and their stock is cheap. They pay decent they have a decent yield and I think at some point in time they’re probably going to split the company in two.

Interviewer: 30:02 That makes sense. Also, can you speak please about how important do you think either an MBA or a CFA is in the investment management industry especially in regard to value investing?

Jonathan Boyar: 30:16 I’m sorry I didn’t hear the question.

Interviewer: 30:23 Sorry, can you please speak about how important you think either a MBA or a CFA is in uh the investment management industry especially in regards to value investing?

Jonathan Boyar: 30:29 I would say um that I came from a different path. I was a litigator um and then went to this which is I wouldn’t recommend anyone to do. If you’re thinking of going to law school call me, I’ll talk you out of it. I actually love law school. Being a litigator, I didn’t. I would say it’s different. You’re getting a tangible you’re getting a qualification with the CFA, you’re getting you know that you have a very good quantitative background and certainly is impressive on any resume. I think that’s something that especially while you’re in college if you can try and do it and get that you know MBA

31:21 it’s it depends. I mean it’s been weird; I don’t know how it works over the last couple of years with covid and a lot of the MBA is the people you meet if you go to Harvard Business School or some of these other prestigious institutions. That’s part of what you get with an MBA.

31:38 I think you have to take costs into a factor and look what your return on investment is. Certainly can’t hurt but you’re paying a lot. All these studies, people going out of school hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt so it’s something nice if you can afford it but it’s really not necessary. CFA is you have to pay for the test but it’s essentially free

Interviewer: 32:10 Absolutely. You spoke a little bit about your background there so why do you prefer investment management to when you’re a litigator?

Jonathan Boyar: 32:18 It was night and day. I mean, I don’t like looking at my watch and trying to figure out how I’m gonna bill something for a project. I love to read, I love to become curious, I like learning about industries, I like speaking with people. Litigation to me it’s an adversarial field it’s a process, it’s just what didn’t suit my temperament. I really enjoy investment management; I like looking at companies that other people
aren’t looking at. I like finding these hidden gems and working with, we have a fantastic team of analysts at Boyar and hearing their insights. So, it’s you have to do what’s you know a preference for you, know yourself. To me it was hands down a fantastic choice.

Interviewer: 33:16 Speaking of spoilers, what sort of uh backgrounds or previous experiences are you looking for? Let’s say, college students who dream of one day working at Boyar as an analyst.

Jonathan Boyar: 33:27 We typically don’t hire people right out of school just because we’re a small shop and I think people can get you know it’s it takes a lot to train people and we’re very specific at what we do. But I think it’s just a love of value investing, a love of writing, a love of coming up with ideas, being analytical. It’s a whole host of things but having that enthusiasm for value investing is critically important and value investing is something either you get, or you don’t.

34:05 We’ve hired analysts in the past who you know we’re really growth analysts. You can tell that they just didn’t speak our language that they didn’t understand why you should buy a particular stock because they have so much real estate that you’re essentially getting the business for free. They’re looking at the growth rate of the business. You have to have to be something that you’re comfortable with.

Interviewer: 34:35 Absolutely. Can you speak a little bit please about diversification and how you look at that in the portfolio turnover position sizing those types of things?

Jonathan Boyar: 34:46 We treat every account differently, individually based on our clients’ needs so we’ll have anywhere between 20 and 50 names in a given portfolio depending on how concentrated someone wants to be. We’re also believers in not investing everything all at once. It hurt us over the last 10 years when you have a market that’s gone you know straight up but I think over the, I’m always looking at your downside and I like to ease into positions and buy things slowly over time. I just think it’s the right thing to do for a client.

35:33 I don’t look at what sector weightings. Our sector weightings are nowhere near what they are of the S&P 500 or the S&P 1500 value or any of the others. We don’t buy any energy stocks so right there goes one waiting that’s out of the window.

35:57 We don’t like heavy technologies and that’s 26 percent of the index so it goes back to my first slide. You have to or one of my first slides on John Templeton, you have to do things a little bit differently.

Interviewer: 36:14 The next question, why did you switch from deep value from offered deep value investing approach to more of a moat investing approach?

Jonathan Boyar:36:20 I think it’s just about going with the times. I mean deep value I don’t think it works as well it’s also tax inefficient because you’re not buying a company that you want to own forever so you’re holding it for one, two, three years. If the pieces worked well you have to pay the government 25 percent of your earnings so it’s just I don’t think a great tax efficient way to invest.

Interviewer 36:57 Some students have noticed that you tend to own a fair amount of
relatively highly levered companies almost like equity stub opportunities. Is this on purpose and what’s sort of the thinking behind this?

Jonathan Boyar: 37:09 We’ll own levered companies when we think it’s when they have the cash flow to just to support it. We’re in a lot of John Malone names and a lot of them are cable companies and things that have high degrees of cash flow can support that leverage. Obviously in a downturn that could really hurt you so you have to really know what you’re buying.

37:35 I think when you’re buying a leveraged position you should also do your position sizing accordingly.

Interviewer: 37:46 Absolutely. Can you speak about how do you analyze management?

Jonathan Boyar: 37:53 How we analyze management? Yes, we’re a little bit different, we generally we’ll speak to management, but we generally try and avoid them. They tell you everything that they want you to hear, they’re very good salesmen. Sometimes it’s good to speak about their general thoughts on that on the business and where they’re going and their vision, but I’ve never had a company CEO tell me business was bad and
don’t buy the stock.

Interviewer: 38:29 That makes sense. Also, um do you find sort of screeners a part of
your research process either quantitative screeners or keyword screeners?

Jonathan Boyar: 38:40 We do some screening but it’s generally one of the advantages of having a research service. We have some of the most sophisticated people as clients and they also tell us ideas to look into so we’re just always on the hunt and screening works but everyone has the same screens. It’s really digging deeper and you know spending your time reading and coming up with ideas. It’s creating you know it’s a decent starting point but you know you’d also miss like a Madison Square Garden if you were doing the stream. You don’t get those hidden assets and things like that.

Interviewer: 39:19 Can you speak a little bit about your thesis for Disney?

Jonathan Boyar: 39:26 Disney is one of the greatest companies in the world. New customers born every day. Just mentioned earlier they have the best contents out there and I think one of the things that people are not or Wall Street’s not fully appreciating is how well those theme parks are going to be going forward especially with the reopening. I think Disney plus is going to be a tremendous success, it’s going to be bumpy along the way um but I think there’s a lot of upside to Disney.

Interviewer: 40:04 Absolutely. Can you speak about some of the long-term economic impacts that you see as a result of covid?

Jonathan Boyar: 40:10 Can you repeat the question?

Interviewer: 40:10 Sorry, some of the long-term economic impacts that you see as a result of covid.

Jonathan Boyar: 40:16 I think it’s too early to tell. I think there’s a psychological impact on how people have been shot in, shot out for the last couple years. I don’t know what the long-term effects they’re gonna be, but they certainly will be. What is the future of work, I don’t know in terms of remote versus in person? I’m not sure what the long-term impacts are but the world is changing very rapidly. I mean we’re right now, it’s war in Europe there’s lots of horrible things going on but time will tell.

Interviewer: 41:11 Absolutely. How did you initially become interested in investing in specifically in value investing?

Jonathan Boyar: 41:11 I think this is something I’ve been you know; my father started the business so I’ve always watched what he did and admired what he did I’m a curious person and I read a lot and something I just grew up and I never thought I would actually do it as a career but it just to me makes a lot of sense. I enjoy it it’s fulfilling, and you know you get paid to read so it’s a pretty good way to make a living.

Interviewer: Absolutely. Can you talk a little bit about your process for selling an investment? What do you know and how to determine when you sell security and what are some of the reasons that you sell the stock for?

Jonathan Boyar: 41:45 Selling is by far a much harder decision than buying. It’s extremely difficult. We sell for a few reasons. One, thesis changes, we’re wrong on a stock and we just want to get out and cut our losses. We’ll do that, you have to be humble enough to be able to do that or if you need cash and you think there’s a better opportunity to deploy that cash. But we’re reluctant sellers, we like the way you know for taxable accounts the way we look at it is if we’re selling a name, we have to find a stock that has a, that’s 25 you know, that’s significantly more upside. We get to pay 25 percent tax to the government roughly depending on your tax bracket. If it’s a long-term capital gain, we take that consideration, so we’ll only really sell something that we still like if it’s blatantly overvalued.

Interviewer: 43:05 That makes sense. Concluding question, what are some of the
most influential events of your investing career?

Jonathan Boyar: 43:10 I’ve been doing it for a lot longer than I’d like to admit but watching 2008 uh 2009 financial crisis stocks you know going down10 20 percent in a day, S&P going down four, five, six percent in a day. I mean that was just unbelievable to watch. I was much younger then, but it showed you how inexpensive stocks can be and how important it is one, to only invest what you can afford to invest that you don’t need for living or immediate needs, but also how cheap stocks can get. So, it’s good to have some cash on the sidelines to take advantage of some bargains

Interviewer: 44:08 Absolutely. Thank you so much, this is a really terrific session, and we really appreciate you taking the time of your busy schedule to speak with us today.

Jonathan Boyar: 44:19 Thank you very much. Thanks for having me. Have a great day

Interviewer: 44:19 Great, thank you!

All Stocks Sales Listenable Related From Value Investing Q&A Series Brown University Recently uploaded

This information is not a recommendation, or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy, an interest in any security, including an interest in any investment vehicle managed or advised by Boyar Asset Management (“Boyar”) or its affiliates. The results of the Forgotten Forty are not audited. This material is as of the date indicated, is not complete, and is subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. No representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information and Boyar assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. Nothing in this interview should be construed as investment advice of any kind. Consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Any opinions expressed herein represent current opinions only and no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information, and Boyar Asset Management and its affiliates assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. You should not assume that any investment discussed herein will be profitable or that any investment decisions in the future will be profitable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain information has been provided by and/or is based on third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and Boyar Asset Management or any of its affiliates is not responsible for third-party errors. Any information that may be considered advice concerning a federal tax issue is not intended to be used, and cannot be used, for the purposes of (i) avoiding penalties imposed under the United States Internal Revenue Code or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another party any transaction or matter discussed herein. Boyar Asset Management, its employees or affiliates may own shares in any of the companies referenced in this article.

Any results mentioned, do not necessarily represent the results of any of the accounts managed by Boyar Asset Management Inc., and the results of Boyar Asset Management Inc. accounts could and do differ materially from any of the results presented. While the results presented show profits, there was the real possibility of a permanent loss of capital. This information is for illustration and discussion purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Boyar Asset Management Inc. is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration of an Investment Advisor does not imply any level of skill or training. A copy of current Form ADV Part 2A is available upon request or at https://adviserinfo.sec.gov Please contact Boyar Asset Management Inc. at (212) 995-8300 with any questions.

Boyar Asset Management or its affiliates, its employees and/or shareholders  may own shares in any of the companies mentioned in the interview. The presentation represents the  views of Boyar as of the date of this interview and is subject to change at any time without notice.

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Interview With Jonathan Boyar at the London Value Conference 2022

 

 

Jonathan Boyar  and our partner MAPFRE Asset Management presented on May 19th at the London Value Investor Conference alongside other speakers such as Sir Christopher Hohn and Joel Greenblatt.

Please click here to view Boyar's full presentation which includes 6 stock ideas.

If you would like to request sample reports on companies profiled by Boyar Research, please fill out the form below:


 

 

 

 

This information is not a recommendation, or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy, an interest in any security, including an interest in any investment vehicle managed or advised by Boyar Asset Management (“Boyar”) or its affiliates. The results of the Forgotten Forty are not audited. This material is as of the date indicated, is not complete, and is subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. No representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information and Boyar assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. Nothing in this interview should be construed as investment advice of any kind. Consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Any opinions expressed herein represent current opinions only and no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information, and Boyar Asset Management and its affiliates assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. You should not assume that any investment discussed herein will be profitable or that any investment decisions in the future will be profitable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain information has been provided by and/or is based on third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and Boyar Asset Management or any of its affiliates is not responsible for third-party errors. Any information that may be considered advice concerning a federal tax issue is not intended to be used, and cannot be used, for the purposes of (i) avoiding penalties imposed under the United States Internal Revenue Code or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another party any transaction or matter discussed herein. Boyar Asset Management, its employees or affiliates may own shares in any of the companies referenced in this article.

Any results mentioned, do not necessarily represent the results of any of the accounts managed by Boyar Asset Management Inc., and the results of Boyar Asset Management Inc. accounts could and do differ materially from any of the results presented. While the results presented show profits, there was the real possibility of a permanent loss of capital. This information is for illustration and discussion purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Boyar Asset Management Inc. is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration of an Investment Advisor does not imply any level of skill or training. A copy of current Form ADV Part 2A is available upon request or at https://adviserinfo.sec.gov Please contact Boyar Asset Management Inc. at (212) 995-8300 with any questions.

Boyar Asset Management or its affiliates, its employees and/or shareholders own shares in Scotts Miracle-Gro, Warner Bros. Discovery, Bank of America, Comcast Corporation, Levi Strauss & Co., Callaway Golf Company. The presentation represents the  views of Boyar as of the date of this article and is subject to change at any time without notice.

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Boyar’s thoughts on the Recent Stock Market Volatility

Below is a letter that we sent Boyar Asset Management clients on 5/6/22.

 

After the stock market (as measured by the S&P 500) dropped by 3.55% yesterday, bringing the decline to nearly 13% in 2022 (and almost 17% for small-capitalization stocks), we wanted to reach out to you.

Losing money is an awful experience and losing money for clients who have entrusted you with their hard-earned savings is even worse. However, there is a significant difference between a temporary loss on paper and a permanent loss of capital.

The past few years have had very little volatility (with the notable exception of March 2020), so this sharp reversal is especially difficult. However, in a typical year since 1980, the stock market has declined by an average of 14% from peak to trough, with midterm election years having historically produced large intrayear pullbacks (17% on average, according to LPL Financial). Midterm election years also tend to produce strong year-end rallies, although admittedly this year has been anything but typical.

Investor Worries

Today’s investors are worried about a host of things, from inflation and interest rates to COVID-19, lockdowns and an economic slowdown in China, and the war in Ukraine. Though we’re not downplaying the seriousness of these issues, investors can always find reasons to sell equities. Since 1940 market participants have endured multiple wars, the assassination of a sitting U.S. president, the economic malaise of the 1970s, the September 11 attacks, the financial crisis and the Great Recession, and more recently the COVID-19 outbreak—but investors who have stayed the course and held on have been richly rewarded.

As mentioned above, one of investors’ biggest worries today is inflation. Inflation has been reasonably tame for the past 25 years or so but has recently soared to a 40-year high. Although historically stocks do poorly when inflation rises, they do quite well after it peaks. According to data from Bloomberg and Leuthold, since 1950 the S&P 500 index has increased an average of 13% over the 12-month period following each of the past 13 major inflation peaks. The question, then, is whether inflation has peaked. Of course, no one can know for certain, but signs do seem to indicate that runaway inflation may be ending relatively soon.

Staying the Course

In our opinion, the worst thing investors can do is sell during a panic. Since 2001 the S&P 500 has increased by ~7.5% per year, yet the average investor has received a return of only 2.9% per annum. Why? Because people buy and sell stocks based on emotional reasons and not fundamental ones, buying in when the outlook is rosy (and valuations are highest) and selling out when times are tough (and valuations are lowest).

We have no idea how much longer this relentless selling will continue, but we do know that we own, on your behalf, a portfolio of businesses that are reasonably priced and that are positioned to do well over the medium to long term. The near term will likely be bumpy, but we’re optimistic about the future. In fact, now is when investors should be thinking about increasing their equity exposure: historically, the best time to invest is when you feel the worst.  Even highly experienced and successful investors find taking this plunge difficult, particularly when prices keep falling, but buying great businesses at marked-down prices and holding them for the long-term is historically how the best returns are made.

Why Don’t You Sell Now, Then Buy When the Situation Stabilizes?

Clients sometimes ask us why we don’t sell in a downturn and wait for the situation to “stabilize.” As simple as it might sound, such an idea is impossible to implement and poses a serious risk to investors’ financial well-being. As famed investor Howard Marks pointed out in his recent memo, missing just a few days could significantly eat into your long-term return. According to data from JP Morgan, during the 20-year period 1999-2018, the S&P 500’s annual return was 5.6%, a figure that dropped to only 2.0% for investors who missed the 10 best trading days (roughly 0.4% of the total trading days during the period). Investors who were unfortunate enough to miss the best 20 trading days made no money at all. The market’s best days tend to follow its worst days, and investors who sell out at these times of maximum pessimism are likely to miss the rebound.

Reasons for Optimism

Today’s headlines are certainly frightening, but not everything is doom and gloom. U.S. consumers are in reasonably good shape with unemployment levels and debt levels at historic lows, major U.S. banks are well capitalized, and the worst of COVID-19 appears to be behind us. In fact, one of the most bullish signs is how negative the current sentiment is, with a recent American Association of Individual Investors survey the most bearish since March 2009 (the month the market bottomed and advanced 23% for the year).

Like everyone else, we’re concerned about the recent stock market volatility. How could anyone not be? There’s no sugar-coating it—volatility is awful to go through. But corrections are an integral part of the investment process: Without them, stock pickers like us would have no chance to purchase stocks at deeply discounted levels. It is this volatility that gives us the potential opportunity to generate superior long-term returns compared with other types of investments.

As always, we’re more than happy to answer any questions you might have. Please feel free to call our office at (212) 995-8300 or email us at info@boyarvaluegroup.com . Looking forward to better days ahead.

Best regards,

Mark A. Boyar

Jonathan I. Boyar

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Important Disclaimers 

This information is not a recommendation, or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy, an interest in any security, including an interest in any investment vehicle managed or advised by Boyar Asset Management (“Boyar”) or its affiliates. This material is as of the date indicated, is not complete, and is subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. No representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information and Boyar assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. Consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Any opinions expressed herein represent current opinions only and no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information, and Boyar Asset Management and its affiliates assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. You should not assume that any investment discussed herein will be profitable or that any investment decisions in the future will be profitable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain information has been provided by and/or is based on third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and Boyar Asset Management or any of its affiliates is not responsible for third-party errors. Any information that may be considered advice concerning a federal tax issue is not intended to be used, and cannot be used, for the purposes of (i) avoiding penalties imposed under the United States Internal Revenue Code or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another party any transaction or matter discussed herein.

Any results mentioned, do not necessarily represent the results of any of the accounts managed by Boyar Asset Management Inc., and the results of Boyar Asset Management Inc. accounts could and do differ materially from any of the results presented. While the results presented show profits, there was the real possibility of a permanent loss of capital. This information is for illustration and discussion purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Boyar Asset Management Inc. is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration of an Investment Advisor does not imply any level of skill or training. A copy of current Form ADV Part 2A is available upon request or at https://adviserinfo.sec.gov Please contact Boyar Asset Management Inc. at (212) 995-8300 with any questions.

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Has Dotdash Meredith Found Hidden Value In Underappreciated Brands?

In 2021, an unlikely suitor bought Meredith’s magazines: digital publisher Dotdash, which owns sites including The Balance, The Spruce and Investopedia, and is itself owned by Barry Diller’s IAC. Dotdash has developed an effective playbook for building digital lifestyle brands, and Meredith’s brand reach could give the company a turbo-boost that makes the $2.7 billion purchase price look downright cheap.

Click Here To Read The Full Article

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This information is not a recommendation, or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy, an interest in any security, including an interest in any investment vehicle managed or advised by Boyar Asset Management (“Boyar”) or its affiliates. The results of the Forgotten Forty are not audited. This material is as of the date indicated, is not complete, and is subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. No representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information and Boyar assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. Nothing in this interview should be construed as investment advice of any kind. Consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Any opinions expressed herein represent current opinions only and no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of information, and Boyar Asset Management and its affiliates assumes no obligation to update or revise such information. You should not assume that any investment discussed herein will be profitable or that any investment decisions in the future will be profitable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain information has been provided by and/or is based on third party sources and, although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and Boyar Asset Management or any of its affiliates is not responsible for third-party errors. Any information that may be considered advice concerning a federal tax issue is not intended to be used, and cannot be used, for the purposes of (i) avoiding penalties imposed under the United States Internal Revenue Code or (ii) promoting, marketing or recommending to another party any transaction or matter discussed herein. Boyar Asset Management, its employees or affiliates may own shares in any of the companies referenced in this article.

Any results mentioned, do not necessarily represent the results of any of the accounts managed by Boyar Asset Management Inc., and the results of Boyar Asset Management Inc. accounts could and do differ materially from any of the results presented. While the results presented show profits, there was the real possibility of a permanent loss of capital. This information is for illustration and discussion purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Boyar Asset Management Inc. is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration of an Investment Advisor does not imply any level of skill or training. A copy of current Form ADV Part 2A is available upon request or at https://adviserinfo.sec.gov Please contact Boyar Asset Management Inc. at (212) 995-8300 with any questions.

Boyar Asset Management or its affiliates, its employees and/or shareholders own shares in IAC. The presentation represents the  views of Boyar as of the date of this article and is subject to change at any time without notice.

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The Boyar Value Group 1st Quarter Client Letter

The Boyar Value Group just released our latest quarterly letter to clients.  Please find an excerpt of the letter below:

Even so, for the first quarter of 2022, the S&P 500 still declined by 4.6% (its first quarterly decline in 2 years) and both the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 entered bear market territory (typically defined as a fall of 20% or more from recent highs)… The decline in the major averages does not tell the whole story, however, because the typical stock has done significantly worse than they have. While not a complete apples-to-apples comparison, as of April 6 the “average stock” in the S&P 500 had declined by almost 17% from its 52-week highs, a figure that for the Russell 3000 exceeds 32%.

Please click here to read the letter

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Beware Of False Bargains

 

One of Warren Buffett’s most famous quotes (echoing Benjamin Graham) is “Price is what you pay; value is what you get.” For most people it’s difficult to separate a company’s stock’s price from what it is worth. Investors often forget that a stock price simply represents the price that someone is currently willing to pay to purchase shares in a company—and many times, that price is not a reflection of a company’s underlying value.

This concept is especially important now as there are many companies that have recently lost 30% to 70% of their value. This significant “price reduction” does not automatically spell a bargain, as companies whose share prices have collapsed could have just been grossly overvalued to begin with. What’s more, they may still be overvalued. To be successful, investors should focus on what a company is worth and pay less attention to short-term share price movements.

Click Here To Read The Full Article

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Neil Vogel, CEO of Dotdash Meredith on how they became the largest publisher in the United States and why they can now compete with both Google/Facebook plus much more…

 

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The Interview Discusses: 

  • How Dotdash in a relatively short period of time became the largest publisher in the United States.
  • IAC’s recent acquisition of Meredith and why he believes they now have the scale to effectively compete against Facebook and Google
  • Lessons learned from working with media mogul Barry Diller.
  • The future of print magazines and why Dotdash is intentionally shrinking their subscriber base.
  • The tremendous licensing opportunities they intend to take advantage of.
  • A potential spinout of Dotdash from parent company IAC.

About Neil Vogel:

Neil Vogel is the CEO of Dotdash Meredith, the largest digital and print publisher in America. Prior to its acquisition of Meredith in December 2021, Mr. Vogel was the CEO of Dotdash, where he led the company’s transformation from a general information website (then About.com) to a vibrant collection of branded properties and one of the largest and fastest-growing online publishers.

Before joining Dotdash, Mr. Vogel was the Founder and CEO of Recognition Media, a creator and producer of award shows and media properties for digital, creative, and advertising communities including the Webby Awards and the Telly Awards. Prior to starting Recognition Media, Mr. Vogel was Chief Corporate Development Officer at Alloy Media + Marketing, a digital content and marketing services company focused on the teen and youth market.

Mr. Vogel is a member of the Board of Directors of the Philadelphia Inquirer, the largest newspaper in America operated as a public-benefit corporation and serves as a venture partner at FirstMark Capital. He received a BS in Finance from the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania.

 

Click Here to Read the Interview Transcript

Transcript of the Interview With Neil Vogel:

[00:00:00] [music]

Jonathan Boyar: [00:00:00] Welcome to The World According to Boyar, where we bring top investors, best selling authors and business leaders to show you the smartest ways to uncover value in the stock market. I’m your host, Jonathan Boyar. Today’s guest is Neil Vogel, CEO of Dotdash Meredith, one of the largest publishers in the United States that own some of the most widely recognized brands, including People, Better Homes and Gardens, Travel + Leisure and [00:00:30] Investopedia. Dotdash recently acquired the publishing assets of Meredith, and the combined company reaches over 175 million consumers monthly, and over 95% of American women. Neil, welcome to the show.

Neil Vogel: Thanks for having me. I’d like to point out, I am not a bestselling author, and I am not one of the world’s great investors either, but thank you for having me. It’s fun to be here.

Boyar: You are a business leader.

Neil: Thank you. I’ll take that. I’ll take what I can get.

Boyar: I, of course, want to discuss the recent Meredith deal, and what it means for the company, [00:01:00] but I first want to talk about the turnaround you did at what is now called Dotdash. Dotdash used to be About.com, which your parent company, IAC, bought from The New York Times, full disclosure, Boyar Asset Management owned shares of IAC. For those of you old enough to remember it, About.com was a very popular site in the early days of the internet that you would go in order to find out about pretty much anything, and you were tasked with running it after the acquisition, and after about two years or so, even though it was still making a fair amount of money, [00:01:30] you concluded that you essentially had to break up the site in order to grow it.

What you did was you took the giant site, About.com, dismantled it, and turned it into a bunch of standalone websites that focused on narrow verticals like health or personal finance. To me, this seemed like a really difficult business decision. You had a business that was working okay, but yet you decided to make a really expensive bet to transform the site knowing full well that initially, you would lose lots of money. [00:02:00] What gave you the confidence to do this? Can you take us through the analysis and decision making behind it?

Neil: The short story and the long story are kind of the same story. The thing that gave us the confidence to do this was that, we were wrong for two years, and understanding and learning from being wrong and learning from trying things gave us the confidence to pivot the model. I’ll give you a little backstory here. I joined About.com not that long after IAC bought it, probably six or eight months. I knew Joey Levin, who’s now the CEO of IAC. [00:02:30] He brought me in to run About.com, and at the time, About.com was definitely challenged. Joey had spoken broadly about why they bought it and what they did with it, but we got there and we saw this publisher.

About.com name that everybody knew. We’re like, “Oh, this is going to be for fun. This is like this fallen giant of the history of the internet. We’re just going to clean it up, and it’s going to be great, and we’re going to be able to fix it.” That is exactly what did not happen. We got there, and I’d never really been a publisher before. I brought in a bunch of people that hadn’t been publishers before. [00:03:00] We tried a bunch of things. We tried to make the content better. We tried to make the sites faster. We tried to do all these things, but the fundamental problem that we learned that didn’t work anymore is that, About.com, if you remember, was very credible information on all kinds of topics, very, very broad.

The internet had changed. Where About.com had information on symptoms diabetes, and had a beer battered  fried chicken, people that have diabetes did not want their diabetes information from the fried chicken guys, and the fried chicken people didn’t want to be on the diabetes site. [00:03:30] We would lose, and we would lose visitors to in health, like WebMD and Healthline, and in food, to, you name it, like Bon Appétit and Food & Wine, and some of the brands, all rest be, some of the brands we own now. After two years of trying and flailing, our story became a very icy story.

We basically, I think we missed like eight of nine quarters when we first got there. This is all internal, obviously. It was us going back to Joey, and Barry Diller, and saying, “That didn’t work, but we’re going to try this, and that didn’t work, but we’re going to try this.” Eventually, [00:04:00] we went back and said, “Listen, everything we’ve done seems like we’ve failed, but we haven’t. Actually, each one of these is a data point, and we’ve assembled these data points, frankly, like what not to do.

In many ways, that’s more valuable than what to do. When you get something that’s what to do, you just keep doing it, when it’s what not to do, you have to think and you have to pivot.” What we realized was, there is no place for a general interest site on the internet anymore. Secondarily, we realized that even the publishers in these verticals were doing crappy things. There was too many ads, sites were [00:04:30] too slow and junky, people forgot they we were in the business of delivering content and aid to people. The content was getting crappy.

We’re like, okay, we went back and said, “Okay, here’s what we’re going to do. We’re going to take About.com. We have two million pieces of content, we’re going to through a million and a half of them in the trash,” which was obviously a big deal. “We’re going to take the remaining half million in health, and in finance, and in food, and in home, and in travel, we’re going to arrange them into verticals, and we’re going to launch new brands out of About.com, and when we’re done, there will be no more About.com. The reason why we think this is going to work [00:05:00] is because, all of our content is, we’re not news, we’re not sports.

It’s very intent-driven. We help people do something with their time. Cook something, make something, diagnose something. We can make fast sites that are really valuable and make brands that resonate, take them out. In all of our arrogance, we think we can actually compete with WebMD. We think we can actually compete with Bon Appétit. We can compete with all these guys.” Then we went back to IAC, and we went back to Joey and to Barry, and I’ll never forget this meeting.

We were like, “Listen, we’re still making money, but a lot less than we [00:05:30] used to.” We want to take this brand that we thought was all of the value of the company, we want to throw out the trash. We want to compete against the best players in publishing on the internet with this new model that we just came up with, and, oh by the way, you got to let us lose some money to do it.” The answer, which was a very IAC answer, and I know you’ve spoken with Joey before, and you know that it was, “What took you guys so long? It took you two years, you could have come with this a year ago.”

That was the exact spirit of answer that we were looking for. From that moment, [00:06:00] from that meeting, which was November or December of ’15, we started to execute our plan. From the first launch of Verywell, which was our health site. It was the first site we launched. We’d launch it. There was a dip for two or three months until people started to figure it out, and the algorithm started to figure it out, and then it just started to go. Then the minute that happened, we knew we had something, and it was just a race to launch The Spruce in home and food, and The Balance in personal finance, and TripSavvy in travel, and Lifewire in tech.

They just all started to work. We’re like five for [00:06:30] five. Then, in a very IAC move, and I’ll continue this story past the answer to the question, we went and said, “Look, we know what we’re doing here. We’ve got this pattern recognition. Let’s find some other things. We are doing this with brands we’ve made up, let’s buy some real brands.” We went out and we started to do some acquisitions. We bought Birdie, which is a very well known Indie fashion brand. We bought something called MyDomain in the home space. Then we bought Brides from Condé Nast, and then we bought Serious Eats and Simply Recipes and Treehugger.

All of a sudden, we’re like [00:07:00] 12 for 12. Like, every brand that we’ve launched or bought, we’ve grown. We’ve grown in revenue. We’ve grown in audience. We’ve really improved, and we’ve got this formula. It’s going. You can see in our financial results which are public how quickly we were growing. We did not look like a publisher. We looked a lot like an internet company, although we are a publisher, to be very clear.

Then, to finish the story with the acquisition you opened with, we got to the summer, and for those of you who followed Meredith in the past, Meredith was half TV stations and half publishing assets. They sold the TV [00:07:30] stations to another group called Gray Television, and the publishing assets were there. We had a very similar conversation with BD and Joey about Meredith that we had at the time we broke up About.com, which is, “Guys, let’s take a look at this thing. It’s obviously heavy in print, but if you look very closely, this is a digital business masquerading as a print business.”

We brought in some of the smartest consultants in print. We think we know what to do with that going forward to make it a really nice complimentary asset, but what we want is Better Homes and [00:08:00] Gardens and Food & Wine, and Travel + Leisure, and People, and if we can run our playbook on these brands that have been historically played second fiddle to print properties, and it’s a really weird thing to say in 2022 that that’s what happened, but that’s really what happened.

Like, let’s get in there and let us do it. More importantly, this whole idea of pattern recognition that we can go back to is, if you map every one of the brands we acquired from Meredith, you can draw a straight line to one of our brands, and what it looks like, and what we had to do. Although it looks like we took a very big bite, we bought something [00:08:30] much bigger than us, we broke it into its component pieces, and we know what to do with it, know how to digest it. Now, we’re three months in. I think today’s just about 90 days. We’re deep in the integration mode, but we’re really excited.

We’re the biggest publisher in the world. We’re these guys that were these non-publishing guys that were very much outsiders trying to figure out what to do with About.com, and now are the biggest publisher in the world. It’s been a crazy ride.

Boyar: No it has, and I applaud Joey and Barry Diller for [00:09:00] giving you the chance. I guess to take the devil’s advocate, success is the worst teacher. What are you doing to ensure that you are taking this situation individually? Obviously, you had a great playbook of what you do and how to improve properties, but this is a huge acquisition. Is there anything you’re doing differently?

Neil: Yes. The first thing is, we are totally paranoid as operators, and this playbook that we used to launch VeryWell four [00:09:30] years ago looks virtually nothing like we do today. What we do is we have some guiding principles that we know work, and what we know works specifically on the internet, but you can define this more broadly to other media assets is, best content for everything we do. Again, our content is called Evergreen Help People Content. Every single piece of content we make, we endeavor to make the very best thing on the internet for that. If you do that, that’s something people will like.

The second thing we want to do is, our sites will be the best performing [00:10:00] sites on the internet, and they are, in terms of speed, that really drives performance. Then the third thing is, the advertising and monetization we use will always be respectful. When we launched– It’s continuous today, it will be two-thirds the number of ads on a typical competitor, maybe less, because you don’t need more ads to make more money, that’s a false choice.

You just need better ads that you can charge more for, and better ways to monetize you can charge more for. If we focus in each of these brands with our number one job is making users [00:10:30] incredibly happy, and the money will follow, build audiences. Our audiences are generally down the funnel because, you’re trying to figure out what color to paint your kid’s bedroom, we know a lot about you. Your router is too slow, we know a lot about you, you’re trying to cook paya, we know a lot about you.

Once you’re down the funnel, we give people the very, very best experience, that’s how we build brand, that’s how we build loyalty, and it works. Now, the formula for People magazine looks very different than the formula for Better Homes and Gardens, and the formula for Health.com, but those three [00:11:00] principles are the overarching principles that underpin– Overarching and underpin. I might have mixed things up there. It’s a bad metaphor, but they’re the things that support everything we do.

Boyar: What’s really interesting, and you had mentioned print, and I used to go to any doctor’s office, et cetera, and you would see a Better Homes and Gardens or whatever, Meredith magazine, I’m assuming that’s no longer the case, but what you’re doing now is super interesting, is you’re making it more of a premium product, better paper, that sort of thing. Can you take us behind [00:11:30] that decision?

Neil: Yes, for sure. I think historically, we’ve pretty much telegraphed what we’re going to do, and we’ve pretty much stuck to that. Again, it’s the same thing if you look at what HAS and other people have done. Historically, magazines functioned a lot like the internet in how they made money. If you’re Better Homes and Gardens, you printed a lot of magazines, you had a very large subscriber base to try and sell ads against a very large subscriber base. I think what happened over time is the demand for advertising in print has gone down.

However, people who’s willing [00:12:00]  to subscribe to Better Homes and Gardens are still very robust, but there was a delta in the circulation between the people willing to pay and what they needed to serve advertisers. The trick is to unwind that delta. We don’t necessarily want to give deeply discounted magazines to people or places if there’s no ads to support them. We want the people who love these brands to pay for them. It turns out, the people who love these brands want a more premium product. In many cases, they’re even willing to pay more than they’ve [00:12:30] been paying.

Just like people like reading books in print, just like people love vinyl records, people love magazines, I have the media consumption habits of like a 17-year-old, which is probably in line with my chosen occupation, but we get magazines at home. Obviously, you’re not going to have Meredith magazines, but before that, we got Food & Wine, because we liked it. I’m a big sports fan, I watch a Sixers game and flip Food & Wine because I don’t want my phone around.

There is a real demand for this, and I think what [00:13:00] we’ve seen is that, magazine properties that have a premium element– Look, it’s not a mystery that people don’t want parenting advice from a magazine anymore. That’s hard but Food & Wine, Southern Living, People, the cadre that we kept and we’re actually investing in, they have real audiences that really love them, and it’s an experience. As long as you give them a great experience, it’s not going to be our biggest business at all.

It’s probably not even going to be a growing business, but it can be a very profitable, complementary [00:13:30] business. We’re in the brand business, if we’re building amazing brands, Southern Living‘s magazine is amazing, and it’s incredible for that brand, and people love it. Is its circulation going to double from here? Absolutely not, but can it be a really viable, profitable piece of the mix? 100%?

Boyar: One of the things that you’ve said before the acquisition of Meredith is, you didn’t have the scale to get a big chunk of advertising dollars. To me, it seems strange, you had almost 100 million visitors to your site. What can you do now that you couldn’t do before? [00:14:00] Now you have about 175, probably, it’s grown a little bit since you last gave that stat, but what can you do now that you couldn’t do before?

Neil: This is my favorite question. When we were Dotdash, not only did we say we didn’t have scale but, there was one thing we said we didn’t have, we didn’t have the brands, and we had great brands, we loved our brands, but our biggest brands were four and five years old. Like The Spruce is the single biggest home brand on the internet, it’s five years old. Everyone knows Better Homes and Gardens, no one knows The Spruce.

The Spruce is bigger than Better Homes and Gardens. So, we had a branding issue, and we had a scale issue [00:14:30] because, we do something unique that others can’t do, and we like our chances. One of the things that we do is, we don’t need cookies or personal identifiers to target because of the nature of our content. If you’re on our site because your router is too slow, we know exactly what kind of ads to serve you. We know exactly what kind of commerce opportunities to give you.

You need to either fix your router or get a new one, it’s very simple. Same thing with painting your kid’s bedroom example. If you’re trying to paint a bedroom for a newborn, we know that, obviously, you just had a kid, we know that you’re in the market for home improvement, we know that that very [00:15:00] highly [unintelligible 00:14:58] with a new car, a new house and a new credit card. We can target really, really well. What the Meredith scale allows us to do is for the first time, a premium publisher can target contextually as well if not better than someone can target audience, and you can’t outbuy us, because we have so much scale to do that.

The second thing was, it now gives us these incredible brands to talk to advertisers, like Better Homes and Gardens is 100 years old this summer, and People‘s 50 years old. These brands are [00:15:30] special and beloved as leaders to talk to advertisers with. This is what we like the most, so it’s like, “Okay, is your content safe and good?” “Yes,” the 175 million users you referenced, every single one of them experiences only content we’ve created, edited, completely ours.

There’s no feed. There’s no fake news. There’s no politics. There’s none of that stuff that you don’t want your ad next to. There’s no weird videos, like none of that, we control all that experience. [00:16:00] Check, that’s premium. Can we deliver scale to someone? Check. Can we deliver audience to someone? Check. Do we have some of the best brands in the world? Check. All of a sudden, we are a viable alternative, and again, this isn’t part of the model we need to succeed, but I think it’s going to happen. We’re a viable alternative to Facebook. We’re a viable alternative to some these other places that frankly, it’s an interesting position for us in that, we’re talking to all these big agencies and having lunch with the head of this agency and that agency, they’re all rooting for us. [00:16:30] Everybody wants this.

Everybody wants a premium publisher that has the internet bones that understands how to target, and in a world where there’s intent-based targeting is better than this like audience cookie-based targeting anyway. We tell everyone like, “Look, we’re better than Facebook because we’re trusted. We can compete with Google, and again, obviously not on total scale, and we can’t take all the money, but we think a little of it.” Then we go for the question, we’re the answer. We’re closer to the customer than Google is. We have a really interesting opportunity if we [00:17:00] get this right, and we put it all together correctly.

Boyar: Let me explore that. That’s really interesting, especially what you mentioned about Google and Facebook, large consumer product companies which are big advertisers of yours, spend tens, hundreds, and in some cases, billions of dollars a year on advertising in the case of like a Procter & Gamble or something. There are really few places outside of Google and Facebook where you can efficiently and effectively spend that money.

Neil: Well, there’s a new one now. [00:17:30]

Boyar: Yes, I’m saying, is Dotdash Meredith now a viable number three?

Neil: Listen, I hope so. That is our long-term goal. We would like to be in the same consideration set, and I think we can be with our performance, and our brands, and our scale, and our safety, and knowing that you’re going to be contextually around things that look and reflect favorably upon your brands. If we can do that, we got a puncher’s chance to [00:18:00] take a couple of nickels out of these guys, which I think that we can do. Now, the number one thing we have to do is– And to be clear, we’re not competing for the direct dollars. That’s not what we do, but all of the branded dollars that go to these places that are performance-based, they’re brand-driven-base, I think we got a puncher’s chance to fight for. We need a sit at the table, and I think we’re going to get at it.

Boyar: I think one of the things that maybe investors probably don’t get, and maybe you can explain, is like, what does a conversation look like when you’re going to a consumer product company and you’re saying, “I want you to advertise [00:18:30] on Dotdash Meredith. It’s not like a small business going on Google, whatever the Google services.

Neil: No, no, no, we’re generally talking to near agency heads and CMOs, and things like that.

Boyar: Yeas, so what are you offering them?

Neil: I’ll work backwards. One of the really interesting things about our business is, our ads and programs have historically performed incredibly well. Because we started from a place where we didn’t have brands, and all we had was scale and performance, we had to go into these [00:19:00] places and say, “Give us a chance, give us a shot. You’re going to learn our brands, but I promise you, our stuff’s going to perform better,” and because our sites are fast, and because we have fewer ads, they invariably performed better than other publishers.

That was really positive for us, and it’s manifested itself in a way where you’ll hear Joey on earnings call say things like, “Every quarter, 23 of the top 25, Dotdash advertisers will repeat.” That’s just not a thing that happens to publishers. Meredith, not even close to that. It’s because of how well [00:19:30] we perform. Now, it also depends on what the metric somebody wants is, is it an auto guy that wants test drives, or you’re selling charcoal that wants to sell charcoal around July 4th?

What we have historically been able to do is through contextual targeting and through scale, and through sites that are so performant and ads that are so well-placed, we’ve been able to show real ROI better than other advertisers, including platforms for the vast majority of the people who [00:20:00] advertise with us, whether it’s pharma clients, or finance clients, or food clients, and that initial performance got us in the door, got our brands more familiar.

Now that we’re adding these brands and these scales, what we’re going to do to Meredith is we’re taking all the Meredith brands, and we’re putting them on our ads back, like a technical term for making, putting them on our sites that are going to make them as fast and as perform as ours. All of a sudden, we have all this scale that’s going to be top of market or better than the market [00:20:30] performance, 175, 180 million people a month.

These brands, we can talk to virtually any CMO in their language, “What do you want? Do you want test drives? Do you want brand awareness? Do you want to sell more of your new soup? What is the KPI you are trying to hit? Tells us that KPI, we will make a program to hit it for you.” I think because we came from a point where we had to hustle for every client, and perform, and perform, and preform, when you add [00:21:00] that into what Meredith has with these incredible brands, and this incredible scale, if we can keep our hustle, and we can keep our brains, and we can keep our performance, we love the combination. Frankly, that’s what we’re hearing.

It’s early days, we’ve done a few deals with advertisers that are one plus one is more than two. Frankly, we’re hearing back from advertisers, the few that we’ve gone out with together, exactly what we’d hope in some flavor of this, like, “Wow, we’d love to give you more money, but we never could before because you couldn’t get more,” [00:21:30] or like, “Oh, this really performs, you’re top of plan. Here’s the mid-quarter re-up.” “Oh, we can now buy programmatically across this whole thing. This is great. I can find more of my audience here at a good price.” Again, we really like our chances that we can do this.

Boyar: One of the challenges Meredith, they have this quality content, and it’s obviously fantastic. These magazines wouldn’t have lasted a hundred years if they hadn’t, but a lot of them look like a PDF of the magazine, and what are you doing [00:22:00] to make that so they’re going to be a digital-first company?

Neil: This may be in more detail than you want, but it’s interesting to talk about. One of the things that we were very different from Meredith is how we run each of our brands. Each of our brands has its own general manager, which is basically a mini CEO, has dedicated technology, dedicated content, dedicated design, dedicated product, which is like how you build the website, like dedicated sales.

Meredith was very matrixed [00:22:30] where every one of our sites looks incredibly different. It’s built on the same platform, like the Lego base is the same, but they can use whatever Legos they want to build it. Meredith, which is a decision they made, every single website is exactly the same, and none of them had individual leadership, so health magazine, health.com looks exactly like people.com.

That’s not a thing in 2022. It’s not a thing one can do anymore. If you look at our sites, like if you look at Verywell and The Spruce, [00:23:00] you have no idea that they were part of the same company because it doesn’t matter, because the teams are free to do what is right for their brands, and then share knowledge across teams. We are bringing that across all of the Meredith brands. We’re three months in, and we already have every leader for every brand in place. What we’re doing is the first thing we’re doing is we’re taking all the old sites, moving them onto our ad stack and tech stack.

Then we are taking all the technology people and moving them into brands, and all the design people and all the products people, and all the leadership and saying, “Have at it, figure it out.” [00:23:30] Better Homes and Gardens should absolutely be the best home site on the internet. We’ve got all the tools. We’ve got all the resources. Now we have the structure, go do it. Think Better Homes and Gardens, for instance, The Spruce is probably depending on the day, 50% to a 100% bigger than Better Homes and Gardens in terms of audience.

However, if you look at Google searches, eight times more people search for the phrase, Better Homes and Gardens than search for The Spruce. That’s our opportunity. If we can do the right job with that Better Homes and Gardens [00:24:00] given its brand history, given the print magazine, given anything, we think it will achieve what you’re calling it’s rightful place in the universe in hopefully a relatively short period of time. The thing that got us most excited about Meredith was when we really dug in and we saw this, and we saw this structure, because this like the opportunity.

The industrial logic there was always like, “Well, we’re so big over here that like each of our things has to look the same.” If you take people out, we were bigger than Meredith at Dotdash. [00:24:30] You don’t have to do it that way. As a matter of fact, it’s much more engaging and inspiring for a team to be like, “All right, I am a health expert. I’m going to make the best health site on the internet. I am competing with Healthline and Everyday Health and WebMD, and we are going to beat them, and we’re going to build amazing things that are just for us. If you can do that, you can really succeed.

I think we’ve proven we can be successful, frankly, with some brands we’ve made up, and then, some brands we’ve acquired, but now if we can do it with the best brands in the world, [00:25:00] we’re a little bit like, “All right, lookout.” We say this all the time, “We are going to happen to things, we do not want things to happen to us, and the first thing we’re going to happen to is the priority, cadence, and structure at which we run websites, like they’re going in the front of the bus, and they weren’t necessarily there, and they are now.”

Boyar: One of the things that we’re really excited about that doesn’t necessarily get as much investor intention, it gets some, is Meredith was super strong in [00:25:30] licensing, really have done a great job, and Meredith is a company we’ve followed since the ’90s, and Meredith had this, and still does, this great partnership with Better Homes and Gardens, and Walmart since, I think, 1998 or so. It’s grown. How big of an opportunity is licensing in your opinion?

Neil: Very, and it’s something that we have spent a lot of time on since we got here. One day, this incredible relationship with Walmart has been an incredible partner at Better Homes and Gardens. At Dotdash, we always [00:26:00] looked at Meredith. When we made Dotdash originally, when we had to take apart About.com, we’d accomplish them at our office when we took Meredith and we dissected every single property, and every single thing that they were doing. It’s like this thing of folklore here and now because we actually do own Meredith now.

One of the things we looked at then was this licensing business, and we always said to ourselves like, “Licensing is the true testament if you have a brand that people care about,” and they have brands that people care about, and they have an incredible licensing business. I think it needs some sun, light and water, which we’re going to give [00:26:30] it. We’d at the beginnings have some really nice licensing around The Spruce, and around Verywell, and we had a seven-figure licensing business here before we did this, which is like a mini fraction of what they’re doing and what they can do.

One of the things we haven’t talked about is, we’re learning a ton from them, and one of them is like, how do you leverage brands in other ways? If we’re not going to be a print company, what are we doing? We have this Food & Wine, and Southern Living, and BHG, and the Spruce, and Verywell, and Investopedia. All of them [00:27:00] have a real chance to have other revenue streams that look a lot like licensing, right? I think we’re going to put our name on it, but we’re only going to deal with things that we really believe in. Like the Walmart collection’s incredible for Better Homes and Gardens.

Honestly, we got to get the Better Homes and Gardens, like we have to focus on that as much as possible, because it’s so on brand and it’s so good that that’s the blueprint for everything else we’re trying to do. It’s funny, most people don’t ask us about this. If we get it right, it’s going to be a nice part of the plan going forward.

Boyar: It’s just unbelievable high margin [00:27:30] revenue that you can get, and why not do it?

Neil: High margin revenue, and look, it’s funny like, high margin revenue doesn’t live on its own, doesn’t just fall out of the sky, you get high margin revenue because you’re doing amazing things, because you have a magazine that is the best shelter magazine in the world, and you have a website that is the best home and shelter website in the world. If we can get to there, things like licensing, if run appropriately, they’ll take care of themselves. Our number one objective is, get these [00:28:00] brands thriving again, get them absolutely thriving. If we can do that, things like this blueprint that we have for Walmart, Better Homes and Gardens, we’re going to be able to replicate in a lot of places.

Boyar: Just shifting gears a little bit. One of the things that you’ve historically been really strong on is performance marketing. That’s a big part of your business. A lot of people have no idea what that really is. Can you explain that?

Neil: Yes, performance marketing is, that’s the term we use in our financial reporting. It’s essentially [00:28:30] e-commerce. It’s essentially us helping customers connecting with goods and services. If you are on The Spruce and you need a new blender for your small kitchen, helping you find the best blender and buy it. If you just had kids and you want a new credit card to get you the best  we can help you find the best credit card. If you need an online therapist because of something going on in your life, we can help you pick the best online therapist.

If you need a new couch, if you need a refrigerator, if you need anything, you need to learn how to make smoky eyes for the date you’re going on tonight, like, we are [00:29:00] very, very deep in the, I call it the guides, ratings, reviews, commerce, business, where if you trust our brands, you’re a young woman on Birdie, and you love Birdie and you love Birdie’s content, and they all make fun of me for using this example all the time, so I’m going to use it again so they can listen and make fun of me.

People like the woman who wants to do smoky eyes for her big date or for her big night out, to the extent that we are the people that can tell her what products she needs to do that and tell her how to do that. That is totally in line with the mission of the brand, and it’s a great way for us [00:29:30] to monetize. Because our audience is so down the funnel when they come to us normally, like how to do smoky eyes, or, again, same example just like, “My router’s too slow, I don’t need a router.”

It presents a real opportunity to connect to people with services in mind, in mental health. We’ve been pretty good at that, but I think we were fairly early on that because I think we recognized the power of the intent-driven audience. During the pandemic, that business went absolutely bonkers. That is a very big part of our business going forward. I think [00:30:00] it’s more than a third of our revenue now, connecting people. For us, we love it, because it’s totally editorial independent, no one that ever writes anything or reviews anything for us has any idea of any economic arrangement we have or we send somebody, we don’t care.

We often recommend things that don’t pay us. It doesn’t matter. We’re not like other publishers. We don’t order things in the way people pay us, we order things in the way we recommend them. With this acquisition, I think we probably have 75,000 to 100,000 square feet now of dedicated product testing space where we have 40 test kitchens in [00:30:30] Birmingham, Alabama, and probably another 15 or 20 in Des Moines, Iowa, where we’re testing, not only all these products, but like, virtually, every recipe that goes on our websites, and all of this stuff, and like, we do the same thing for all the home sites, and all the tech sites.

We can really take this seriously. We even think we have a chance to be the very modern consumer reports. The business is very similar to what like Wirecutter does and The New York times. There’s a lot of competitors in this space yet, but like everything else we do, there’s like no shortcuts to winning in the [00:31:00] commerce business. You do the hard work. You do all the work, you write the most comprehensive reviews, and people will trust you.

One of the interesting things we learned from Meredith, there’s a type of commerce they’re excellent at that we never really participated in, which is more of the deals type commerce, which is on People magazine, “Buy this dress that Jennifer Anderson wore last night, or this reasonable facsimile at this other place.” They are very, very good and very, very seasoned at that type of commerce, which is our stuff [00:31:30] really aligns with the intent of our users.

What they’re really good at is manufacturing intent at places where maybe there isn’t shopping intent, but like, you love Jennifer Anderson, and she looked great, and I want to own that dress, and we sell them that dress. That’s a surprisingly big business for them, it’s something we’re going to roll out across our sites, and we’re learning a lot from them on this. Look, a big opportunity for our type of commerce is, they don’t really do it this way on most of their brands. Like, there’s not that much commerce at Food & Wine or at any of these other places.

[00:32:00] It’s a way we can monetize without ads, and it’s something that customers actually want from us. They want our recommendations, they want to know what our editor’s like. They want to know what colors we like the best, it’s really interesting.

Boyar: IAC, their famous board and their playbook has historically been to spin out businesses once they’re able to operate on their own, they’ve done it many, many times. Most recently, Vimeo, I realize is a board decision, I totally get it, but there are any like metric the companies have said or something to figure out like, [00:32:30] now would be a good time where it’s appropriate?

Neil: To be clear, it’s not up to me. I think they’ve said in the past, when you get so big, there’s a compelling other reason to send you out of the nest, you get sent out of the nest, but the reason you’d need to be public or independent is, do we need capital? I think we’ve clearly just proven that we don’t need capital to execute a model, right? $2.7 billion is a lot of money. If you need a way to compensate people, and we have equity and data, we can do that. IAC has really great programs that make it look really [00:33:00] compelling for people. Do we need like the leadership of a board or outsiders, and like, I get to hang out with Barry Diller and Joey whenever I want, or maybe not whenever I want, but whenever they’re not sick of hearing from me, and that’s really valuable.

The IAC culture, which we really try to embrace, it’s not for everybody. I love it, it’s a lot of debate, a lot of standing up for what you believe in, like in many cases, they just want to know that you know, and [00:33:30] a lot of planning, and a lot of time, like I think BD calls it in an article once as creative conflict. Like, that room is not the easiest room, but if you enjoy being in that room and you enjoy having ideas and defending them, and you don’t mind when people are taking shots at your ideas, it’s the best place to work. There’s no other place in the world that would’ve let us mess around for two years with something, do as poorly as we did in the beginning, and that was pretty poorly.

Then turn around and tell us like, “Come on, guys, do the next thing, and take not as much money as you want, but as much money as you reasonably need [00:34:00] to do this. Then, literally, three or four years later, give us almost $3 billion to take this incredible shot, like IAC is the best possible place to work if you are an entrepreneur or CEO.

Boyar: You had mentioned Joey and Barry, I recently interviewed Joey late last year, and I asked him about the things he learned from working with Barry Diller. What he said was, “Think bigger, why settle for a small idea or category? Why not go after a big one?” Which I thought was pretty insightful, [00:34:30] and that led him to take a stake in MGM that’s been extraordinarily successful. Any insights that you’ve learned from Barry Diller that you want to share?

Neil: I think it’s, what Joey said applies directly to this. Are we in this business? Are we good at it? Good at it enough that we’re like, I guess have the confidence that we’re good at it, but like the self-awareness to know we have a long way to go and get better, and if we are, what are we doing [00:35:00] if we’re not going to take a shot here, what are we doing if we’re not going to do this? It’s all of that.

The other thing, there’s some really specific things that I’ve learned here. There’s some really interesting things that I’ve learned about managing people and managing organizations from these guys, which is, a 100% of the time you are better off finding your next leader internally than eternally. Meaning, look around the room, if there’s a job you need done and there’s someone who is going to– You think can have a shot at that job, even if they’re going to be over their head, [00:35:30] even if they’re going to be in the deep water, chuck it in the pool.

It’s way better than hiring from the outside because that disempowers all those that work for you if you bring. People from the outside fail more than people from the inside anyway. The organ rejection, cultural rejection, so our entire leadership team here has been– It’s the same team that was here when we sucked. Most of the people running our businesses are people that we brought in doing something completely different than they’re doing now. Like Tori Braham, who runs our commerce business. Who’s an absolute star and [00:36:00] responsible for whatever, a third to 40% of our revenue, she started out running a home vertical at About.com.

It’s just so smart and so good, and we’ve done this so many times. That’s the one thing now, are we insular, is that weird because we don’t go outside? We only go outside when we have needs to go outside. The effect that has on an organization, when everyone sees those around them are the people that can really advance, and that your career is not capped, and you can do anything. [00:36:30] Going back to the conversation, everybody owns some equity, and it creates an environment that is conducive for success, and sets you up to do the thing.

We never planned to buy Meredith. Were we ready to buy Meredith? Probably not, but had we learned how to think about something like buying Meredith? 100%. Whatever we don’t learn, we can ask, or we can be told, and we can– The stories always tell great and very smooth in retrospect, but we’re convincing some of the [00:37:00] smartest people in the world of what we want to do, and they have their own opinions, and nobody has better pattern recognition than Barry Diller. He’s seen virtually everything in media, and it might not be the exact same thing, but he knows, nobody’s better at building brands.

I don’t know, he gets to this place where he assemble learnings and the things you do, and you put into practice, and the culture. Like the culture of this place, once you get it right, they’ll invest in you, and go do it. It’s exactly what Joey said. The Meredith exactly– I listened to the podcast with Joe’s it’s exactly what he said to you. “If you’re going to do it, think bigger, think bigger, bigger, bigger, bigger, like let’s go. “That’s why we’re here now. Hopefully, not to our detriment.

Boyar: No, I don’t think so. It’s a great answer. Neil, you’ve been really generous with your time today, and thanks for coming onto The World According to Boyar to discuss the evolution of Dotdash, which is absolutely fascinating, and your recent acquisition of Meredith. As an IAC shareholder, I look forward to following your progress. Thanks for being on the show.

Neil: Thanks. Look, if anybody wants to [00:38:00] talk to me for an hour, I’m happy to talk to them at any time. Thank you. It’s been really fun. I really appreciate you having me on.

Boyar: I hope you’ve enjoyed the show. To be sure you never miss another World According to Boyar episode, please follow us on Twitter @boyarvalue. Until next time.

 

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About The Boyar Family Of Companies

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